Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 0.99) 1.18 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 27.9% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Estudiantes L.P.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia L.P. 0 9.4% 11.1% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack100%67%
Defense83%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
HATHAT
Played161834161935
Wins38%39%38%56%21%37%
Draws19%11%15%19%32%26%
Loses44%50%47%25%47%37%

Form: Gimnasia L.P.: LLLWDWWLDLDLDLLWLDWWLLWLLLWLLWWWWW • Estudiantes L.P.: WDWDWDWWLDLLDLDLLLWWWLWLLWDDDWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
HATHAT
GF total141327221537
GF avg0.90.70.81.40.81.1
GA total181735142539
GA avg1.10.91.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%59%71%69%
1.518%32%29%34%
2.56%12%6%6%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
HATHAT
Clean sheets77146511
Failed to score510152810

Penalties

MetricGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
Wins23
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Gimnasia L.P. or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Betano
Draw2.91 @ 188Bet
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.59 @ Pinnacle
No1.58 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia L.P. = 1.18 (league 0.99), Estudiantes L.P. = 1.18 (league 0.74)

Estudiantes L.P.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia L.P. 0 9.4% 11.1% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 35.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1