Azadegan League
— Iran
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 11:30 •
Vatani Stadium
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 0.98)
0.05 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6% | 65.1% | 3.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
63.8%
1 - 0
25.5%
2 - 0
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Fard Alborz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nassaji Mazandaran | 0 | 63.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 14% |
| Defense | 57% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
31%
FT probability
2.5+
22%
FT probability
3.5+
16%
FT probability
BTTS
33%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 63% | 67% | 38% | 14% | 27% |
| Draws | 29% | 25% | 27% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Loses | 0% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
Form: Nassaji Mazandaran: DWDWWWWDWWWWLWD • Fard Alborz: LDWWDLWDDDDLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 27% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nassaji Mazandaran | Fard Alborz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 90% | 10% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.3% | 41.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nassaji Mazandaran or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nassaji Mazandaran = 0.40 (league 0.98), Fard Alborz = 0.05 (league 0.68)
| Fard Alborz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nassaji Mazandaran | 0 | 63.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 65.1% · Away win 3.3%
vtt 3 , vtd1