Azadegan League
— Iran
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 0.98)
1.03 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5% | 32.7% | 41.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Havadar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naft Gachsaran | 0 | 17.0% | 17.6% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 57% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 57% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 14% | 44% | 31% | 67% | 17% | 47% |
| Loses | 29% | 56% | 44% | 11% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Naft Gachsaran: DDWDLLLDWLWLWLLD • Havadar: DWWDWLLDDDLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 69% | 67% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 31% | 33% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Havadar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naft Gachsaran = 0.74 (league 0.98), Havadar = 1.03 (league 0.68)
| Havadar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naft Gachsaran | 0 | 17.0% | 17.6% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 41.7%
vtt 2 , vtd1