Azadegan League
— Iran
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 0.98)
0.24 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 49.1% | 12.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
42.7%
1 - 0
26.2%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mes Kerman | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navad Urmia | 0 | 42.7% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
34%
FT probability
2.5+
24%
FT probability
3.5+
17%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 13% | 20% | 38% | 25% | 31% |
| Draws | 71% | 38% | 53% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
Form: Navad Urmia: WDLDDWDDLDDWLDL • Mes Kerman: DLLWWWLDLDLWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 44% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Navad Urmia | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mes Kerman and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Navad Urmia = 0.61 (league 0.98), Mes Kerman = 0.24 (league 0.68)
| Mes Kerman | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Navad Urmia | 0 | 42.7% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 49.1% · Away win 12.2%
vtt 3 , vtd1