Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.63)
1.65 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.6% | 23.4% | 39.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Botev Ihtiman | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pirin Razlog | 0 | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Pirin Razlog +11.2, Botev Ihtiman -29.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Pirin Razlog
vs
Botev Ihtiman
Elo gapBotev Ihtiman +14
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3004
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3004
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1477.6 | 1526.4 |
| Form Elo | 1484.1 | 1519.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1492.6 | 1504.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1475.1 | 1509.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1465.5 | 1572.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.2 | -29.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Pirin Razlog last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Botev Ihtiman last-5 Elo change: -29.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 46% | 31% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 46% | 23% | 35% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Draws | 23% | 23% | 23% | 36% | 21% | 29% |
| Loses | 31% | 54% | 42% | 14% | 43% | 29% |
Pirin RazlogLDDLWLDLWWLLWDDWLDWLLWLWWL
Botev IhtimanWLWDDWWWDWDWLLLDWLWWDDWLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 10 | 20 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 73% | 79% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 38% | 46% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 19% | 21% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…