Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.63)
0.43 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.9% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Slivnishki geroy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rilski Sportist | 0 | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Rilski Sportist carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 205 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Rilski Sportist +29.6, Slivnishki geroy +22.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Rilski Sportist
vs
Slivnishki geroy
Elo gapRilski Sportist +205
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo3088.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3088.1
Elo home share
76%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1628.8 | 1459.3 |
| Form Elo | 1646.3 | 1463.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1547.9 | 1459.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1550.1 | 1472.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1602.1 | 1448.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +29.6 | +22.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Rilski Sportist last-5 Elo change: +29.6; Slivnishki geroy last-5 Elo change: +22.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 69% |
| Defense | 100% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 12 | 26 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 79% | 67% | 73% | 43% | 21% | 32% |
| Draws | 14% | 25% | 19% | 36% | 14% | 25% |
| Loses | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% | 64% | 43% |
Rilski SportistDDWWWWDWWWWWLWWDWWLWWWDWWW
Slivnishki geroyWDLWDWLWWDWLLLDLLLLLDDLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 17 | 43 | 21 | 11 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 26 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 54% | 61% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 8% | 32% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 4% | 18% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Slivnishki geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 68.6% | 31.4% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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