Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 17:00 •
Honneur Stadium
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.18)
0.48 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 32.9% | 15.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 0
20.6%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| KAC Kenitra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mouloudia Oujda | 0 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 88% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 60% | 55% | 67% | 0% | 36% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 27% | 0% | 80% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 18% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
Form: Mouloudia Oujda: DWWLWDLWWDW • KAC Kenitra: WLWDLDWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 55% | 82% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 18% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mouloudia Oujda | KAC Kenitra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Mouloudia Oujda or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mouloudia Oujda = 1.11 (league 1.18), KAC Kenitra = 0.48 (league 0.84)
| KAC Kenitra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mouloudia Oujda | 0 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 15.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1