Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 23:30 •
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.12)
1.02 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 23.8% | 22.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Acassuso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Pilar | 0 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 52% | 45% | 49% | 41% | 33% | 37% |
| Draws | 33% | 36% | 35% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 14% | 18% | 16% | 23% | 33% | 28% |
Form: Real Pilar: WWWDLWDWDLDDWWLWDWWLDWDDWWDLLWDWWWDDWWWLDWD • Acassuso: WDWDLLWLWDDLWDWWDDWWWDDLWDWWDLLLLDLLWWDLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 19 | 52 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 22 | 25 | 47 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Pilar | Acassuso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 51% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 12% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 2% | 12% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 11 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 11 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Pilar | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Pilar or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.47 @ Betano
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ Unibet
No1.50 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Pilar = 1.72 (league 1.12), Acassuso = 1.02 (league 0.86)
| Acassuso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Pilar | 0 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 22.4%
Vtot 3 , Vtod3
