Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio del Conero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.54) 0.86 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 24.0% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnconaFrancavilla
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack70%100%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ancona Francavilla
HATHAT
Played325415
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Ancona: WWWWW • Francavilla: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Ancona Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total4378311
GF avg1.31.51.42.03.02.2
GA total112426
GA avg0.30.50.41.02.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnconaFrancavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%100%80%
1.540%0%80%40%
2.50%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnconaFrancavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAnconaFrancavilla
Scored (total | %)4 | 57.14%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)3 | 42.86%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricAnconaFrancavilla
Wins55
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-22-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2233
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricAnconaFrancavilla
Form50%50%
Att39%61%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ancona or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away6.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 1.69 (league 1.54), Francavilla = 0.86 (league 1.05)

Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 18.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1