Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.32 (league 1.51) 1.46 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.4% 13.5% 12.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 1
6.8%
4 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Club Milano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
2 4.6% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseClub Milano
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Club Milano
HATHAT
Played246516
Wins100%100%100%60%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%20%0%17%
Loses0%0%0%20%0%17%

Form: Pistoiese: WWWWWW • Club Milano: DWWWWL

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Club Milano
HATHAT
GF total510157310
GF avg2.52.52.51.43.01.7
GA total134325
GA avg0.50.80.70.62.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseClub Milano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%50%
1.5100%0%33%33%
2.550%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseClub Milano
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPistoieseClub Milano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricPistoieseClub Milano
Wins64
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-02-3
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For3333
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseClub Milano
Form56%44%
Att59%41%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Winner : Pistoiese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away8.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 3.32 (league 1.51), Club Milano = 1.46 (league 1.03)

Club Milano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
2 4.6% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.4% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 12.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1