Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.51) 1.48 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 26.4% 56.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 2
12.9%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 11.8% 17.4% 12.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrancavillaAncona
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack100%78%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Francavilla Ancona
HATHAT
Played426426
Wins100%50%83%75%100%83%
Draws0%50%17%25%0%17%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Francavilla: WWWWWD • Ancona: WWWWWD

League goals

Metric Francavilla Ancona
HATHAT
GF total8412538
GF avg2.02.02.01.31.51.3
GA total437213
GA avg1.01.51.20.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrancavillaAncona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%100%50%
1.567%33%33%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrancavillaAncona
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFrancavillaAncona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 62.50%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 37.50%
Total18

Streaks

MetricFrancavillaAncona
Wins55
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-32-11-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For3322
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricFrancavillaAncona
Form50%50%
Att59%41%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ancona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Superbet
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 0.66 (league 1.51), Ancona = 1.48 (league 1.01)

Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 11.8% 17.4% 12.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 56.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1