Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.17) 0.46 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 15.0% 5.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
1 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal Liberia
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 6.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

šŸ”®

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack65%18%
Defense76%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LD Alajuelense Municipal Liberia
HATHAT
Played111122101020
Wins73%55%64%50%20%35%
Draws18%36%27%40%30%35%
Loses9%9%9%10%50%30%

Form: LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWWWDWWWDWDW • Municipal Liberia: WDWDWLWLDWDDWLLWLDDL

League goals

Metric LD Alajuelense Municipal Liberia
HATHAT
GF total20183812921
GF avg1.81.61.71.20.91.1
GA total6814101525
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%70%60%
1.564%18%30%40%
2.523%0%5%20%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512538
Failed to score224156

Penalties

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Wins41
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-10-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-43-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Form69%31%
Att79%21%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total78.8%21.2%

Advice: Winner : LD Alajuelense

šŸ’ø

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 188Bet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
šŸ“Š

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): LD Alajuelense = 2.31 (league 1.17), Municipal Liberia = 0.46 (league 0.98)

Municipal Liberia
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 6.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.5% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% Ā· Draw 15.0% Ā· Away win 5.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1