Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.21) 0.49 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 20.8% 9.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting San Jose
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 9.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLD AlajuelenseSporting San Jose
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack50%25%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LD Alajuelense Sporting San Jose
HATHAT
Played141428121224
Wins64%50%57%17%17%17%
Draws29%36%32%42%33%38%
Loses7%14%11%42%50%46%

Form: LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWWWDWWWDWDWDDLWWD • Sporting San Jose: LLLDLWLDDLWDDWLLDDLLLDWD

League goals

Metric LD Alajuelense Sporting San Jose
HATHAT
GF total2422469918
GF avg1.71.61.60.80.80.8
GA total91120101626
GA avg0.60.80.70.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLD AlajuelenseSporting San Jose
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%54%46%63%
1.557%18%21%33%
2.521%0%8%8%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLD AlajuelenseSporting San Jose
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513459
Failed to score2356713

Penalties

MetricLD AlajuelenseSporting San Jose
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLD AlajuelenseSporting San Jose
Wins41
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-24-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricLD AlajuelenseSporting San Jose
Form62%38%
Att67%33%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total73.8%26.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : LD Alajuelense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away6.60 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LD Alajuelense = 1.83 (league 1.21), Sporting San Jose = 0.49 (league 0.99)

Sporting San Jose
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 9.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 9.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1