Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.20) 0.64 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 31.8% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
CS Cartagines
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 17.1% 10.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLD AlajuelenseCS Cartagines
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack60%40%
Defense20%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LD Alajuelense CS Cartagines
HATHAT
Played151631151429
Wins60%44%52%53%29%41%
Draws27%31%29%27%36%31%
Loses13%25%19%20%36%28%

Form: LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWWWDWWWDWDWDDLWWDLLL • CS Cartagines: LWWDDWWDWLDDLWDWLDLLWWWDLWLWD

League goals

Metric LD Alajuelense CS Cartagines
HATHAT
GF total252348171330
GF avg1.71.41.51.10.91.0
GA total111526111122
GA avg0.70.90.80.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLD AlajuelenseCS Cartagines
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%58%69%55%
1.552%26%28%21%
2.519%0%7%0%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLD AlajuelenseCS Cartagines
HATHAT
Clean sheets85137613
Failed to score246459

Penalties

MetricLD AlajuelenseCS Cartagines
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLD AlajuelenseCS Cartagines
Wins43
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-00-22-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLD AlajuelenseCS Cartagines
Form36%64%
Att60%40%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : LD Alajuelense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away5.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LD Alajuelense = 1.13 (league 1.20), CS Cartagines = 0.64 (league 0.99)

CS Cartagines
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 17.1% 10.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1