Super League — Kenya
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.25) 0.63 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 32.0% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 17.4% 11.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaivasNzoia Sugar
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack40%80%
Defense20%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naivas Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%33%0%18%
Draws40%33%36%67%80%73%
Loses0%50%27%0%20%9%

Form: Naivas: WWDWLDWDDLL • Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDD

League goals

Metric Naivas Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
GF total7186410
GF avg1.40.20.71.00.80.9
GA total347358
GA avg0.60.70.60.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaivasNzoia Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%55%55%45%
1.518%9%36%27%
2.59%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaivasNzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets235426
Failed to score156325

Penalties

MetricNaivasNzoia Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNaivasNzoia Sugar
Wins21
Draws26
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-0—
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For3122
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricNaivasNzoia Sugar
Form45%55%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Naivas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away5.11 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naivas = 1.12 (league 1.25), Nzoia Sugar = 0.63 (league 0.76)

Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 17.4% 11.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1