Super League — Kenya
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.25) 1.56 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 25.4% 54.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Equity Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 9.1% 14.3% 11.1% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.6% 11.9% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack31%46%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi City Stars Equity Bank
HATHAT
Played66126410
Wins33%33%33%67%25%50%
Draws17%33%25%17%50%30%
Loses50%33%42%17%25%20%

Form: Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDLWDWD • Equity Bank: WLDWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Nairobi City Stars Equity Bank
HATHAT
GF total54911415
GF avg0.80.70.81.81.01.5
GA total73106511
GA avg1.20.50.81.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%58%70%80%
1.517%17%50%30%
2.50%8%30%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-21-00-12-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Equity Bank

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ William Hill
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.88 @ Betfair
No1.41 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi City Stars = 0.83 (league 1.25), Equity Bank = 1.56 (league 0.77)

Equity Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 9.1% 14.3% 11.1% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.6% 11.9% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1