Super League — Kenya
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.26) 1.58 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 25.2% 54.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Equity Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 9.0% 14.2% 11.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense20%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi City Stars Equity Bank
HATHAT
Played6511549
Wins33%40%36%60%25%44%
Draws17%20%18%20%50%33%
Loses50%40%45%20%25%22%

Form: Nairobi City Stars: LWWLLLDLWDW • Equity Bank: WLDWWDLWD

League goals

Metric Nairobi City Stars Equity Bank
HATHAT
GF total5499413
GF avg0.80.80.81.81.01.4
GA total73105510
GA avg1.20.60.91.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%67%78%
1.518%18%44%33%
2.50%9%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-21-00-12-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricNairobi City StarsEquity Bank
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Equity Bank

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nairobi City Stars = 0.83 (league 1.26), Equity Bank = 1.58 (league 0.76)

Equity Bank
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi City Stars 0 9.0% 14.2% 11.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 54.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1