Super League — Kenya
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 08:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.18) 1.44 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.1% 26.8% 59.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 2
14.7%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Migori Youth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 14.3% 20.5% 14.7% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.3% 10.5% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKibera Black StarsMigori Youth
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack33%89%
Defense44%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kibera Black Stars Migori Youth
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%57%46%71%67%69%
Draws17%0%8%29%0%15%
Loses50%43%46%0%33%15%

Form: Kibera Black Stars: LWWWDWLLLLLWW • Migori Youth: WWWWDLWWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Kibera Black Stars Migori Youth
HATHAT
GF total371010919
GF avg0.51.00.81.41.51.5
GA total47115712
GA avg0.71.00.80.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKibera Black StarsMigori Youth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%62%100%54%
1.523%23%38%23%
2.58%0%8%15%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKibera Black StarsMigori Youth
HATHAT
Clean sheets235336
Failed to score437000

Penalties

MetricKibera Black StarsMigori Youth
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKibera Black StarsMigori Youth
Wins34
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-20-2
Biggest losses0-12-0—3-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricKibera Black StarsMigori Youth
Form38%63%
Att27%73%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total35.5%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Migori Youth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.01 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.71 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kibera Black Stars = 0.51 (league 1.18), Migori Youth = 1.44 (league 0.73)

Migori Youth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 14.3% 20.5% 14.7% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.3% 10.5% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 59.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1