Super League
— Kenya
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.26)
0.84 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | 38.3% | 40.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.0%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nzoia Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luanda Villa | 0 | 26.0% | 21.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 25% | 33% |
| Defense | 75% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 71% | 67% | 69% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
Form: Luanda Villa: DLLWLLWLLWWD • Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 42% | 67% | 54% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 8% | 31% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luanda Villa | Nzoia Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nzoia Sugar and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luanda Villa = 0.51 (league 1.26), Nzoia Sugar = 0.84 (league 0.76)
| Nzoia Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luanda Villa | 0 | 26.0% | 21.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 40.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1