Super League — Kenya
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.24) 0.84 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 38.2% 40.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.7%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luanda Villa 0 25.7% 21.6% 9.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.3% 11.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 3.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuanda VillaNzoia Sugar
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack36%36%
Defense91%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luanda Villa Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%43%38%29%17%23%
Draws33%0%15%71%67%69%
Loses33%57%46%0%17%8%

Form: Luanda Villa: DLLWLLWLLWWDW • Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Luanda Villa Nzoia Sugar
HATHAT
GF total5386511
GF avg0.80.40.60.90.80.8
GA total549358
GA avg0.80.60.70.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuanda VillaNzoia Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%62%54%38%
1.515%8%31%23%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuanda VillaNzoia Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets235538
Failed to score347426

Penalties

MetricLuanda VillaNzoia Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLuanda VillaNzoia Sugar
Wins21
Draws16
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-21-0—2-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricLuanda VillaNzoia Sugar
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nzoia Sugar and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luanda Villa = 0.52 (league 1.24), Nzoia Sugar = 0.84 (league 0.76)

Nzoia Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luanda Villa 0 25.7% 21.6% 9.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.3% 11.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 3.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 40.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1