Super League — Kenya
Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.25) 0.68 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 37.0% 28.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Migori Youth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 22.9% 15.7% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNzoia SugarMigori Youth
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack15%54%
Defense92%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nzoia Sugar Migori Youth
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%71%57%64%
Draws71%71%71%29%0%14%
Loses0%14%7%0%43%21%

Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWDD • Migori Youth: WWWWDLWWDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Nzoia Sugar Migori Youth
HATHAT
GF total651110919
GF avg0.90.70.81.41.31.4
GA total3585813
GA avg0.40.70.60.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNzoia SugarMigori Youth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%36%93%57%
1.529%21%36%21%
2.50%0%7%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNzoia SugarMigori Youth
HATHAT
Clean sheets549336
Failed to score437011

Penalties

MetricNzoia SugarMigori Youth
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNzoia SugarMigori Youth
Wins14
Draws61
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-20-2
Biggest losses—2-1—3-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricNzoia SugarMigori Youth
Form44%56%
Att22%78%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.5%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nzoia Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betfair
Draw2.80 @ Superbet
Away4.42 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Superbet
No1.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.79 (league 1.25), Migori Youth = 0.68 (league 0.76)

Migori Youth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 22.9% 15.7% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 37.0% · Away win 28.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1