Cup — Belgium
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 19:30 • Dender Football Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.83) 3.87 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.8% 8.0% 67.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
7.7%
0 - 4
7.5%
1 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 0.8% 3.1% 6.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.8%
1 0.8% 3.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.2% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDenderUnion St. Gilloise
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack50%36%
Defense71%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 21 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dender Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played202112
Wins100%—100%100%100%100%
Draws0%—0%0%0%0%
Loses0%—0%0%0%0%

Form: Dender: WW • Union St. Gilloise: WW

League goals

Metric Dender Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total707235
GF avg3.50.03.52.03.02.5
GA total404101
GA avg2.00.02.01.00.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDenderUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.5100%100%100%0%
2.5100%0%50%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDenderUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDenderUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDenderUnion St. Gilloise
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—2-10-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4023
Goals Against2010

Model comparison

MetricDenderUnion St. Gilloise
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h13%88%
Goals17%83%
Total31.6%68.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away1.78 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.96 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dender = 0.96 (league 1.83), Union St. Gilloise = 3.87 (league 1.55)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 0.8% 3.1% 6.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.8%
1 0.8% 3.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.2% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.8% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 67.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1