Kibera Black Stars vs Mwatate United

Super League — Kenya

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 08:00 • Venue TBA

Match Finished

Kibera Black Stars

2 - 1

Mwatate United

Expected Goals

0.22 (league 1.26) 0.32 (league 0.76)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
15.1%	62.5%	22.5%

best score tips

0 - 0

58.3%

0 - 1

18.5%

1 - 0

13.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Mwatate United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Kibera Black Stars	0	58.3%	18.5%	2.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	13.0%	4.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Kibera Black Stars	Mwatate United
Played	5	5
Form	0%	27%
Attack	0%	20%
Defense	0%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	1 \| 0.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%

FT probability

2.5+

31%

FT probability

3.5+

22%

FT probability

BTTS

49%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Kibera Black Stars			Mwatate United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	6	11	6	5	11
Wins	20%	50%	36%	17%	0%	9%
Draws	20%	0%	9%	33%	40%	36%
Loses	60%	50%	55%	50%	60%	55%

Form: Kibera Black Stars: LWWWDWLLLLL • Mwatate United: LDLLDDWDLLL

League goals

Metric	Kibera Black Stars			Mwatate United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	1	6	7	5	2	7
GF avg	0.2	1.0	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.6
GA total	3	7	10	10	7	17
GA avg	0.6	1.2	0.9	1.7	1.4	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Kibera Black Stars		Mwatate United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	36%	64%	45%	82%
1.5	18%	27%	18%	55%
2.5	9%	0%	0%	18%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Kibera Black Stars			Mwatate United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	1	1	2
Failed to score	4	3	7	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Kibera Black Stars	Mwatate United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Kibera Black Stars	Mwatate United
Wins	3	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	0-2	1-0	—
Biggest losses	0-1	2-0	0-3	3-1
Goals For	1	3	2	1
Goals Against	1	2	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Kibera Black Stars	Mwatate United
Form	0%	100%
Att	0%	100%
Def	42%	58%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	64%	36%
Goals	56%	44%
Total	51.8%	48.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mwatate United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Kibera Black Stars vs Mwatate United

Expected goals (λ): Kibera Black Stars = 0.22 (league 1.26), Mwatate United = 0.32 (league 0.76)

		Mwatate United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Kibera Black Stars	0	58.3%	18.5%	2.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	13.0%	4.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 62.5% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Kibera Black Stars	Mwatate United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0