Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 23:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.34)
1.12 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.7% | 31.3% | 43.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Boca Juniors Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vélez Sársfield Res. | 0 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 53% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 17 | 35 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| Wins | 56% | 41% | 49% | 64% | 69% | 66% |
| Draws | 28% | 29% | 29% | 23% | 19% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
Form: Vélez Sársfield Res.: LDWWWDWWDWDWWWLWWWWDDDLLLLDWDDLWWLW • Boca Juniors Res.: DDDWWWWWWWWDDLWWWLWWLLWWWDWDWWWWDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 22 | 52 | 42 | 23 | 65 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 71% | 84% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 49% | 20% | 47% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 3% | 21% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 10 | 90.91% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 9.09% |
| Total | 6 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vélez Sársfield Res. | Boca Juniors Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Boca Juniors Res.
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vélez Sársfield Res. = 0.76 (league 1.34), Boca Juniors Res. = 1.12 (league 1.00)
| Boca Juniors Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vélez Sársfield Res. | 0 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 43.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1