Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 22:15 • Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 23.3% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
America de Cali 0 4.3% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.3% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmerica de CaliAtletico Nacional
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack45%45%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric America de Cali Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
Played252651252550
Wins60%27%43%68%28%48%
Draws32%31%31%20%44%32%
Loses8%42%25%12%28%20%

Form: America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLDLDLDWWDLWWWWWLLDWDL • Atletico Nacional: WWWDLWWDWDLWDWLWDWLLDDLWLWWWLDDWDDWDWWDWDWWWLWDDLW

League goals

Metric America de Cali Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
GF total412364513485
GF avg1.60.91.32.01.41.7
GA total192544222951
GA avg0.81.00.90.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmerica de CaliAtletico Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%59%82%66%
1.537%20%50%28%
2.512%8%24%8%
3.54%0%10%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmerica de CaliAtletico Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets11102110717
Failed to score41014279

Penalties

MetricAmerica de CaliAtletico Nacional
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%14 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total414

Streaks

MetricAmerica de CaliAtletico Nacional
Wins53
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-01-5
Biggest losses1-33-02-32-0
Goals For4455
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAmerica de CaliAtletico Nacional
Form38%62%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.31 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): America de Cali = 1.74 (league 1.11), Atletico Nacional = 1.41 (league 0.79)

Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
America de Cali 0 4.3% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.5% 9.1% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.3% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 31.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1