Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 22:15 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.11) 1.21 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 22.5% 24.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 4.5% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack27%64%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin Junior
HATHAT
Played262753262551
Wins46%44%45%62%28%45%
Draws42%22%32%19%40%29%
Loses12%33%23%19%32%25%

Form: Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWWWDDWLWWDLWWWLDLDL • Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWLWWLLDWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin Junior
HATHAT
GF total423678412970
GF avg1.61.31.51.61.21.4
GA total213051213253
GA avg0.81.11.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinJunior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%78%69%
1.540%23%43%29%
2.525%6%12%6%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
HATHAT
Clean sheets128209716
Failed to score48125611

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total910

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Wins65
Draws43
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-00-2
Biggest losses3-45-21-23-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinJunior
Form15%85%
Att30%70%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Junior

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away3.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.88 (league 1.11), Junior = 1.21 (league 0.79)

Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 4.5% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1