Primera A — Colombia
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 00:20 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.11) 1.11 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 28.3% 33.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 10.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeBucaramanga
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack40%27%
Defense67%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played262753232144
Wins46%44%45%57%33%45%
Draws27%26%26%22%29%25%
Loses27%30%28%22%38%30%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDDLWWWLWLLW • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDDWLWWDWLWLWDLWD

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total323365332356
GF avg1.21.21.21.41.11.3
GA total223052182442
GA avg0.81.11.00.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%62%73%59%
1.534%26%36%25%
2.58%4%11%9%
3.52%2%7%2%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets1282012618
Failed to score68146612

Penalties

MetricSanta FeBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total98

Streaks

MetricSanta FeBucaramanga
Wins33
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-74-01-4
Biggest losses1-36-10-43-0
Goals For3744
Goals Against3643

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeBucaramanga
Form43%57%
Att60%40%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bucaramanga and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.19 (league 1.11), Bucaramanga = 1.11 (league 0.79)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 10.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1