Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45) 1.35 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 24.0% 31.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cusco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalCusco
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack87%67%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Cusco
HATHAT
Played191938181836
Wins68%42%55%67%56%61%
Draws16%21%18%22%17%19%
Loses16%37%26%11%28%19%

Form: Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLWLLWWWDW • Cusco: LLWDWWLWLWWDWDDWWWWWWWWDWWLLWLDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Cusco
HATHAT
GF total383068372865
GF avg2.01.61.82.11.61.8
GA total152742132235
GA avg0.81.41.10.71.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalCusco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%66%81%61%
1.555%29%61%28%
2.526%13%28%8%
3.513%3%11%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalCusco
HATHAT
Clean sheets851310414
Failed to score358347

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalCusco
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total89

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalCusco
Wins48
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-02-4
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalCusco
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cusco

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Cristal = 1.65 (league 1.45), Cusco = 1.35 (league 0.95)

Cusco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1