DFB Pokal — Germany
Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 19:45 • Holstein-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.12) 0.40 (league 2.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 18.4% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
18.1%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 9.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielVfB Stuttgart
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack33%60%
Defense93%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.79 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played033033
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Holstein Kiel: WWW • VfB Stuttgart: WWW

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total055099
GF avg0.01.71.70.03.03.0
GA total011044
GA avg0.00.30.30.01.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielVfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%33%
1.567%0%100%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%33%33%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielVfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielVfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielVfB Stuttgart
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—0-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0205
Goals Against0104

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielVfB Stuttgart
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.75 @ Unibet
Draw4.83 @ 1xBet
Away1.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 1.97 (league 1.12), VfB Stuttgart = 0.40 (league 2.23)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 9.3% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 7.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 6.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1