Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadion Josefa Masopusta
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.72)
1.36 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
4 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Slovan Liberec II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baník Souš | 0 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Baník Souš carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 196 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Baník Souš +21.8, Slovan Liberec II -10.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Baník Souš
vs
Slovan Liberec II
Elo gapBaník Souš +196
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo2997.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2997.3
Elo home share
76%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1579.1 | 1418.2 |
| Form Elo | 1592.3 | 1421.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1542.2 | 1448.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1615 | 1587.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1548.4 | 1327.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.8 | -10.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Baník Souš last-5 Elo change: +21.8; Slovan Liberec II last-5 Elo change: -10.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 72% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 73% | 50% | 61% | 23% | 18% | 21% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 9% | 31% | 27% | 29% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 46% | 55% | 50% |
Baník SoušWLWWWWWWWLLLWLWLWDLDWWW
Slovan Liberec IILDLLDLLLWWLDDDWDWLDLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 18 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 65% | 75% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 74% | 35% | 42% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 22% | 25% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 4% | 17% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baník Souš | Slovan Liberec II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.54 @ 1xBet
Draw4.30 @ 1xBet
Away4.72 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.48 @ Unibet
No2.23 @ Unibet
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League standings
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