Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
Sports facility Pisek
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.71)
0.58 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.0% | 22.3% | 11.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Loko Vltavín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Písek | 0 | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Písek carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 116 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Písek -41.0, Loko Vltavín +5.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Písek
vs
Loko Vltavín
Elo gapPísek +116
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3013.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3013.2
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1547.3 | 1465.9 |
| Form Elo | 1540 | 1460.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1543.9 | 1475.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1536.2 | 1396.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1508.1 | 1450 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -41.0 | +5.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Písek last-5 Elo change: -41.0; Loko Vltavín last-5 Elo change: +5.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 19% | 19% |
| Defense | 56% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 67% | 27% | 48% | 50% | 27% | 39% |
| Draws | 17% | 27% | 22% | 25% | 9% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 45% | 30% | 25% | 64% | 43% |
PísekWDWWWWWLDLLWLWDWWWDLDLL
Loko VltavínDLWLDLWWWWLLWWLDLLDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 11 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Písek | Loko Vltavín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 65% | 78% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 26% | 22% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 13% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Písek | Loko Vltavín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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