Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.73)
0.48 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | 20.8% | 9.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Křimice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Benešov | 0 | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Benešov carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 106 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Benešov -9.9, Křimice -7.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Benešov
vs
Křimice
Elo gapBenešov +106
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo3220.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3220.3
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1645.8 | 1574.5 |
| Form Elo | 1643.7 | 1583.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1578.3 | 1553.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1761.3 | 1662.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1651.3 | 1606.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.9 | -7.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Benešov last-5 Elo change: -9.9; Křimice last-5 Elo change: -7.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 47% | 30% |
| Defense | 87% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 91% | 73% | 82% | 64% | 55% | 59% |
| Draws | 9% | 18% | 14% | 0% | 27% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 9% | 5% | 36% | 18% | 27% |
BenešovWWWWWWWWWWWWDDWWWDWLWW
KřimiceDLDLWWWLWWDWLWWWWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 38 | 25 | 63 | 30 | 20 | 50 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Benešov | Křimice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 27% | 86% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 9% | 64% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 5% | 41% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 0-6 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Benešov | Křimice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Betano
Away5.22 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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