Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.73) 0.94 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 24.4% 21.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Milin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Petřín Plzeň II 0 7.5% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Milin carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 51 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Petřín Plzeň II -25.3, Milin -20.8.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Petřín Plzeň II Elo 1335.1 · -25.3
vs
Milin Elo 1421.2 · -20.8
Elo gapMilin +51
Home / draw / away33% / 24% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo2756.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2756.3
Elo home share 43%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Petřín Plzeň II Milin
Overall Elo1335.11421.2
Form Elo13201401.7
Home / Away Elo1430.41447.5
Attack Elo1380.71467.2
Defense Elo1196.21378.5
Last 5 Elo change-25.3-20.8

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Petřín Plzeň II last-5 Elo change: -25.3; Milin last-5 Elo change: -20.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPetřín Plzeň IIMilin
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack20%10%
Defense43%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Petřín Plzeň II Milin
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins9%0%5%45%9%27%
Draws45%0%23%18%9%14%
Loses45%100%73%36%82%59%
Petřín Plzeň IILLDLDLLLDLLLLLWLDLLLDL
MilinWWLWDLLWLDLLLDLLWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Petřín Plzeň II Milin
HATHAT
GF total1271921829
GF avg1.10.60.91.90.71.3
GA total223860172946
GA avg2.03.52.71.52.62.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePetřín Plzeň IIMilin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%95%64%86%
1.518%73%27%55%
2.59%64%18%36%
3.50%36%14%23%
4.50%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPetřín Plzeň IIMilin
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score459268

Penalties

MetricPetřín Plzeň IIMilin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPetřín Plzeň IIMilin
Wins12
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-06-10-2
Biggest losses0-45-11-46-0
Goals For3263
Goals Against4546

Model comparison

MetricPetřín Plzeň IIMilin
Form25%75%
Att67%33%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h13%88%
Goals14%86%
Total36.0%64.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…