Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.72)
1.58 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.3% | 21.4% | 30.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Svitavy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dobrovice | 0 | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Svitavy carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 35 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dobrovice +6.4, Svitavy -3.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Dobrovice
vs
Svitavy
Elo gapSvitavy +35
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo2828.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2828.3
Elo home share
45%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1379.2 | 1449.1 |
| Form Elo | 1368.2 | 1449.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1469.3 | 1489.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1360.9 | 1423.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1370.6 | 1355.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.4 | -3.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Dobrovice last-5 Elo change: +6.4; Svitavy last-5 Elo change: -3.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 7% | 7% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 0% | 14% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Draws | 27% | 9% | 18% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 45% | 91% | 68% | 45% | 64% | 55% |
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SvitavyLLLLLWLWLLWDDDLDWLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 22 | 31 | 53 | 22 | 32 | 54 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dobrovice | Svitavy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 91% | 59% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 68% | 27% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 45% | 23% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 23% | 9% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dobrovice | Svitavy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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