Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 19:15 •
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.27)
0.93 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.9% | 25.3% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Philadelphia Union | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlanta United FC | 0 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 0% | 0% |
| Attack | 17% | 8% |
| Defense | 42% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Atlanta United FCLLL
Philadelphia UnionLLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlanta United FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 0% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Betano
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Bet365
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League standings
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