Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 20:30 •
Rio Tinto Stadium
Expected Goals
3.13 (league 1.28)
1.03 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
7.9%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting Kansas City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Salt Lake | 0 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 28% |
| Defense | 61% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Real Salt LakeLWWWD
Sporting Kansas CityLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ 188Bet
Draw6.60 @ Betano
Away10.75 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betano
No2.06 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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