Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 2.03)
1.32 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.2%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Pardubice U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zlín U19 | 0 | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Zlín U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Zlín U19 +17.7, Pardubice U19 +20.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Zlín U19
vs
Pardubice U19
Elo gapZlín U19 +21
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2995.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2995.6
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1491 | 1504.6 |
| Form Elo | 1499.1 | 1520.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.3 | 1485.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1538.9 | 1529.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1489 | 1461.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +17.7 | +20.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Zlín U19 last-5 Elo change: +17.7; Pardubice U19 last-5 Elo change: +20.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 89% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 18% | 27% | 64% | 27% | 45% |
| Draws | 9% | 45% | 27% | 9% | 36% | 23% |
| Loses | 55% | 36% | 45% | 27% | 36% | 32% |
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Pardubice U19WLLLDDDWWWWLDWLLWWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 82% | 86% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | 50% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 18% | 32% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 18% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zlín U19 | Pardubice U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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