Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.23) 2.58 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 18.6% 45.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
6.7%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olancho 0 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.0% 5.2% 6.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlanchoCD Marathon
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack60%73%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olancho CD Marathon
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%20%30%80%40%60%
Draws50%40%45%20%40%30%
Loses10%40%25%0%20%10%

Form: Olancho: LWDWWDDWDWDDLDLDLLDW • CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Olancho CD Marathon
HATHAT
GF total211738192241
GF avg2.11.71.91.92.22.1
GA total12183031215
GA avg1.21.81.50.31.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlanchoCD Marathon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%90%45%
1.555%45%60%20%
2.525%10%30%10%
3.510%5%10%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlanchoCD Marathon
HATHAT
Clean sheets1128311
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricOlanchoCD Marathon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricOlanchoCD Marathon
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-47-00-4
Biggest losses0-14-1—3-2
Goals For6474
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricOlanchoCD Marathon
Form29%71%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 10Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olancho = 2.05 (league 1.23), CD Marathon = 2.58 (league 1.02)

CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olancho 0 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.0% 5.2% 6.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 45.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1