Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.23) 2.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 19.2% 43.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.8%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Olimpia 0 1.1% 2.8% 3.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
1 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.8% 7.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6%
3 1.7% 4.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Olimpia CD Motagua
HATHAT
Played91120111021
Wins67%64%65%45%50%48%
Draws33%18%25%27%20%24%
Loses0%18%10%27%30%29%

Form: CD Olimpia: WWWDDWLWDWWWDWWWLWDW • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWWDLWL

League goals

Metric CD Olimpia CD Motagua
HATHAT
GF total212243201939
GF avg2.32.02.21.81.91.9
GA total121527241135
GA avg1.31.41.42.21.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%65%71%81%
1.580%50%57%52%
2.525%5%33%29%
3.55%5%10%5%
4.55%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
HATHAT
Clean sheets257134
Failed to score022426

Penalties

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Wins34
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-74-31-7
Biggest losses—6-20-43-1
Goals For3747
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : CD Olimpia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Olimpia = 2.06 (league 1.23), CD Motagua = 2.41 (league 1.02)

CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Olimpia 0 1.1% 2.8% 3.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
1 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.8% 7.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6%
3 1.7% 4.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 43.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1