Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Excelsior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.23) 1.78 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 23.0% 44.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense FC 0 4.0% 7.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.8% 10.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack67%100%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Platense FC CD Marathon
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%27%36%82%45%64%
Draws36%18%27%18%36%27%
Loses18%55%36%0%18%9%

Form: Platense FC: WLWWLWDLLDDLWDLLWWWDDL • CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDWWWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Platense FC CD Marathon
HATHAT
GF total181735222547
GF avg1.61.51.62.02.32.1
GA total9152431215
GA avg0.81.41.10.31.10.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlatense FCCD Marathon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%77%91%41%
1.536%23%64%18%
2.523%9%36%9%
3.518%0%9%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259413
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Wins34
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-47-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-0—3-2
Goals For4474
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPlatense FCCD Marathon
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total35.8%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Platense FC = 1.43 (league 1.23), CD Marathon = 1.78 (league 1.04)

CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Platense FC 0 4.0% 7.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.8% 10.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1