Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.16) 1.74 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 22.7% 63.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 2
14.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
LD Alajuelense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Liberia 0 9.4% 16.4% 14.3% 8.3% 3.6% 1.3%
1 5.8% 10.2% 8.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack30%100%
Defense0%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Municipal Liberia LD Alajuelense
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%22%39%67%67%67%
Draws33%33%33%22%22%22%
Loses11%44%28%11%11%11%

Form: Municipal Liberia: WDWDWLWLDWDDWLLWLD • LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Municipal Liberia LD Alajuelense
HATHAT
GF total11920141529
GF avg1.21.01.11.61.71.6
GA total912215510
GA avg1.01.31.20.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%78%39%
1.533%39%61%17%
2.56%17%17%0%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
HATHAT
Clean sheets5386511
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Wins14
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-00-12-1
Goals For2334
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricMunicipal LiberiaLD Alajuelense
Form24%76%
Att23%77%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h7%93%
Goals24%76%
Total18.8%81.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or LD Alajuelense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Municipal Liberia = 0.62 (league 1.16), LD Alajuelense = 1.74 (league 0.97)

LD Alajuelense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Liberia 0 9.4% 16.4% 14.3% 8.3% 3.6% 1.3%
1 5.8% 10.2% 8.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 63.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1