Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.17) 0.61 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 22.2% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal Liberia
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 9.2% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.3% 10.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack64%36%
Defense91%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LD Alajuelense Municipal Liberia
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins67%60%63%50%22%37%
Draws22%30%26%40%33%37%
Loses11%10%11%10%44%26%

Form: LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWWWDWWWD • Municipal Liberia: WDWDWLWLDWDDWLLWLDD

League goals

Metric LD Alajuelense Municipal Liberia
HATHAT
GF total14163012921
GF avg1.61.61.61.21.01.1
GA total5611101222
GA avg0.60.60.61.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%42%74%58%
1.558%16%32%37%
2.516%0%5%16%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511538
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Wins41
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-10-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-43-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricLD AlajuelenseMunicipal Liberia
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total78.5%21.5%

Advice: Double chance : LD Alajuelense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 188Bet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away6.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LD Alajuelense = 1.78 (league 1.17), Municipal Liberia = 0.61 (league 0.98)

Municipal Liberia
0 1 2 3 4 5
LD Alajuelense 0 9.2% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.3% 10.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1