FA Cup — England
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 12:00 • Pride Park Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.77) 0.05 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerbyLeeds
Played00
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

0%
FT probability

2.5+

0%
FT probability

3.5+

0%
FT probability

BTTS

0%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby Leeds
HATHAT
Played000000
Wins——————
Draws——————
Loses——————

League goals

Metric Derby Leeds
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerbyLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5————
1.5————
2.5————
3.5————
4.5————

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerbyLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDerbyLeeds
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDerbyLeeds
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0000
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricDerbyLeeds
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leeds

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away1.81 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby = 0.05 (league 1.77), Leeds = 0.05 (league 1.47)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1