FA Cup — England
Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:30 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.76) 0.86 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.4% 15.6% 10.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 9.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack33%28%
Defense94%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 35 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played202202
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Port Vale: WW • Fleetwood Town: WW

League goals

Metric Port Vale Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total606505
GF avg3.00.03.02.50.02.5
GA total101303
GA avg0.50.00.51.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.550%0%100%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—3-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For5030
Goals Against1020

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total52.6%47.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away4.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 2.55 (league 1.76), Fleetwood Town = 0.86 (league 1.46)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 9.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.4% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 9 , vtd1