Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.11) 1.21 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 23.4% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 5.1% 6.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.0% 10.9% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportes TolimaJunior
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack33%75%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportes Tolima Junior
HATHAT
Played262753272653
Wins58%48%53%63%27%45%
Draws23%22%23%19%38%28%
Loses19%30%25%19%35%26%

Form: Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWWWWWDWWDWL • Junior: DDDWWLDWWWWWDDWLDLWWDLLLLLWWWDWDWLWLDDWLWWLLDWWDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Deportes Tolima Junior
HATHAT
GF total393473443074
GF avg1.51.31.41.61.21.4
GA total202848213455
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportes TolimaJunior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%57%79%68%
1.540%21%43%30%
2.517%11%13%6%
3.54%2%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportes TolimaJunior
HATHAT
Clean sheets12112310717
Failed to score57125611

Penalties

MetricDeportes TolimaJunior
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total210

Streaks

MetricDeportes TolimaJunior
Wins65
Draws23
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-23-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricDeportes TolimaJunior
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Deportes Tolima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away5.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 1.76 (league 1.11), Junior = 1.21 (league 0.79)

Junior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportes Tolima 0 5.1% 6.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.0% 10.9% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1