Copa del Rey — Spain
Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 20:00 • El Molinón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.25) 0.05 (league 2.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 53.8% 2.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
52.3%
1 - 0
31.3%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Gijon 0 52.3% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting GijonValencia
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack27%64%
Defense100%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.57 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Gijon Valencia
HATHAT
Played022022
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Sporting Gijon: WW • Valencia: WW

League goals

Metric Sporting Gijon Valencia
HATHAT
GF total033077
GF avg0.01.51.50.03.53.5
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting GijonValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%50%
1.550%0%100%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting GijonValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSporting GijonValencia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSporting GijonValencia
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—0-5
Biggest losses————
Goals For0205
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricSporting GijonValencia
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Winner : Valencia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.26 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Gijon = 0.60 (league 1.25), Valencia = 0.05 (league 2.10)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Gijon 0 52.3% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 53.8% · Away win 2.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1