Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 18:00 • El Sardinero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.23) 0.95 (league 2.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 29.0% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Santander 0 11.4% 10.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing SantanderVillarreal
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack67%89%
Defense89%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 38 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Santander Villarreal
HATHAT
Played022022
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Racing Santander: WW • Villarreal: WW

League goals

Metric Racing Santander Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total066088
GF avg0.03.03.00.04.04.0
GA total011011
GA avg0.00.50.50.00.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing SantanderVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing SantanderVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRacing SantanderVillarreal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing SantanderVillarreal
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-4—0-6
Biggest losses————
Goals For0406
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricRacing SantanderVillarreal
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total47.4%52.6%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away1.71 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Santander = 1.22 (league 1.23), Villarreal = 0.95 (league 2.10)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Santander 0 11.4% 10.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 7 , vtd1