Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio de Mendizorroza
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
4.05 (league 1.23) 0.05 (league 2.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.6% 2.0% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
18.3%
5 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesSevilla
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack100%67%
Defense100%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 56 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Sevilla
HATHAT
Played022022
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Alaves: WW • Sevilla: WW

League goals

Metric Alaves Sevilla
HATHAT
GF total01010066
GF avg0.05.05.00.03.03.0
GA total000022
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesSevilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%50%0%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesSevilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAlavesSevilla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlavesSevilla
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-7—1-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For0704
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricAlavesSevilla
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total59.8%40.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Alaves and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 4.05 (league 1.23), Sevilla = 0.05 (league 2.10)

Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 18.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 15.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.6% · Draw 2.0% · Away win 0.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1