Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 12:00 • Boonyachinda Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.54 (league 1.64) 0.93 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 9.4% 5.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
7.9%
4 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nakhon Si Thammarat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.5% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Si Thammarat
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack73%27%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Tero Nakhon Si Thammarat
HATHAT
Played710178917
Wins86%50%65%38%22%29%
Draws0%20%12%25%11%18%
Loses14%30%24%38%67%53%

Form: Police Tero: WLWLWLLWWWWWWWDWD • Nakhon Si Thammarat: WWLDLLWLDLLDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Police Tero Nakhon Si Thammarat
HATHAT
GF total14152981119
GF avg2.01.51.71.01.21.1
GA total61319102636
GA avg0.91.31.11.32.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolice TeroNakhon Si Thammarat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%71%76%
1.547%35%18%53%
2.524%6%12%35%
3.512%0%6%29%
4.56%0%6%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Si Thammarat
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Si Thammarat
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Si Thammarat
Wins72
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-46-0
Goals For5325
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricPolice TeroNakhon Si Thammarat
Form65%35%
Att73%27%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h33%67%
Goals25%75%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Winner : Police Tero

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Superbet
Away5.55 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police Tero = 3.54 (league 1.64), Nakhon Si Thammarat = 0.93 (league 1.16)

Nakhon Si Thammarat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police Tero 0 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.5% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 5.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1