Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 12:00 •
Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.64)
1.12 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mahasarakham United | 0 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 57% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 40% | 25% | 33% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 30% | 25% | 28% | 30% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 30% | 50% | 39% | 10% | 75% | 39% |
Form: Mahasarakham United: LWLDDDLWDDWWLLWWLL • Nong Bua Pitchaya: LDWLWLWWDDLLWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 9 | 28 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 9 | 21 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 72% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 11% | 11% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mahasarakham United | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nong Bua Pitchaya
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mahasarakham United = 3.02 (league 1.64), Nong Bua Pitchaya = 1.12 (league 1.16)
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mahasarakham United | 0 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 10.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1