Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 11:00 • 700th Anniversary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.65) 1.66 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 23.9% 44.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Police Tero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chiangmai United 0 5.0% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.7% 11.1% 9.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChiangmai UnitedPolice Tero
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack27%53%
Defense67%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chiangmai United Police Tero
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins55%30%43%73%50%62%
Draws9%0%5%18%20%19%
Loses36%70%52%9%30%19%

Form: Chiangmai United: DLWLLWLWWWLLLWWLLWLWL • Police Tero: WLWLWLLWWWWWWWDWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Chiangmai United Police Tero
HATHAT
GF total191029201535
GF avg1.71.01.41.81.51.7
GA total14152971320
GA avg1.31.51.40.61.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChiangmai UnitedPolice Tero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%81%62%
1.533%43%48%29%
2.519%14%24%5%
3.55%10%10%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChiangmai UnitedPolice Tero
HATHAT
Clean sheets336628
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricChiangmai UnitedPolice Tero
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChiangmai UnitedPolice Tero
Wins37
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-25-21-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-0
Goals For5353
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricChiangmai UnitedPolice Tero
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h60%40%
Goals44%56%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Police Tero

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Superbet
No2.18 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chiangmai United = 1.34 (league 1.65), Police Tero = 1.66 (league 1.17)

Police Tero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chiangmai United 0 5.0% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.7% 11.1% 9.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 44.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1