Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 12:00 • Chai Nat Provincial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.64) 1.34 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 23.3% 29.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Police Tero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chainat 0 4.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.9% 10.6% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChainatPolice Tero
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack38%46%
Defense23%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chainat Police Tero
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%25%35%56%33%45%
Draws27%31%29%31%13%23%
Loses27%44%35%13%53%32%

Form: Chainat: DWWDLWWDDDWWLLLWWLDWLDWLLDDLLWL • Police Tero: WLWLWLLWWWWWWWDWDDWDWLDLLLDDLWL

League goals

Metric Chainat Police Tero
HATHAT
GF total242044252045
GF avg1.61.31.41.61.31.5
GA total182240132740
GA avg1.21.41.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChainatPolice Tero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%77%77%71%
1.539%32%39%32%
2.516%16%19%13%
3.56%3%6%6%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChainatPolice Tero
HATHAT
Clean sheets437729
Failed to score246347

Penalties

MetricChainatPolice Tero
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricChainatPolice Tero
Wins27
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-21-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-36-3
Goals For4453
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricChainatPolice Tero
Form44%56%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Police Tero

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chainat = 1.76 (league 1.64), Police Tero = 1.34 (league 1.17)

Police Tero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chainat 0 4.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.9% 10.6% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 29.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1